For whatever reason, the betting gods have rained down their fury on me over the past few days. I have been losing virtually every bet that I have placed. College football started, and I had the worst weekend I’ve ever had betting on the sport. I bet big on the Blue Jays yesterday and Dylan Cease let me down. Not exactly what I am looking for as a sports betting analyst. As always, the good news is that we get betting options daily, and we can get some of that money back on this one between the Angels and Red Sox.
The Los Angeles Angels are in the midst of yet another lost season. They will almost certainly finish as the worst team in their division, and potentially the worst team in baseball. Another 100-loss season is on the horizon unless they can win seven of their final 18 games. Considering they are winning only 38% of their games, it seems a bit unlikely that they will get the seven wins needed to avoid the 100-loss fate. The only good news is that this team is being sold, and perhaps new ownership will turn this franchise around.
The other good news is that they get another start from their staff Ace, Reid Detmers. It has been a very strong season from Detmers this year, with him going 4-8 for the year, posting a 3.44 ERA, and a 1.06 WHIP. He is also 10th in baseball with 182 strikeouts. Detmers has been worse on the road this season, but his numbers aren’t terrible. His road ERA is 3.80, compared with 3.21 at home. He has been fantastic since the start of August, going 37 innings and allowing just six earned runs. One of his worst starts of the season came against Boston, where he allowed five earned runs over five innings.
The Boston Red Sox avoided a disaster season by becoming one of the hottest teams in baseball history. They have been extremely streaky over the past couple of months, winning a ton, then losing a few in a row. They’ve won their past five games, including the series opener yesterday. However, even this win streak saw them lose six of their previous eight games before starting this streak. And before that, they won five games in a row again. The team is currently 15 games above .500 and owners of the second Wild Card spot.
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Looking to extend this winning streak is tonight’s starter, Patrick Sandoval. It is hard to bet against the Red Sox in any game recently because of how well they’ve played. For the year, Sandoval is 1-4 with a 4.41 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP. He has only made 10 starts for Boston this year, and is allowing an earned run basically every other inning that he pitches. He hasn’t been great lately, with 17 earned runs allowed over his last 30 innings of work. He didn’t face the Angels this season, but their team is hitting just 4-for-17 against him in their careers.
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As mentioned, betting against the Red Sox lately has been a bad investment for most people. However, they are fairly average at home this season, going just 36-34 for the year. The Angels are terrible on the road, though, at just 24-46. I’m going to take the Angels tonight through five innings behind Detmers. I don’t know that they can pull off the full game, but I do think their starting pitching advantage will give them the edge in this game. Give me the Angels through five innings on the moneyline.
For more sports betting information and plays, follow David on X/Twitter: @futureprez2024
